Protests

If the George Floyd protests are dealt with adequately, the Republicans will win the upcoming elections.

If the Republicans win the upcoming elections, then it would be clear that the George Floyd protests were adequately dealt with.

Since the George Floyd protests are not being dealt with adequately, the Republicans will lose the upcoming elections.

If the George Floyd protests are dealt with adequately, the Republicans are likely to win the upcoming elections.

The Republicans will probably lose the upcoming elections as the George Floyd protests have not been dealt with adequately. 

Even if the George Floyd protests are not dealt with adequately, we cannot be sure that the Republicans will lose the upcoming elections.